A position player IFA just hit the market, and at an 88 overall, he should make an immediate impact and be a candidate for the HOF. Here's my analysis of where he will play ball:
Out (<15 br="" budgeted="" million="">
Helena
Salt Lake City
Jacksonville
Honolulu
Tampa Bay
Durham
Atlanta
Scranton
San Francisco
Montgomery
Salem
Indy
Out (Already spent budget)
Memphis
LA
Pittsburgh
Chicago
Vancouver
Houston
Kansas City
Cleveland
Montreal
Likely Out (less than 18 million available)
Houston
Buffalo
Candidates
Philly (34 million)
Cincy (30 million)
Toledo (25 million)
Texas (19 million)
Charlotte (19 million)
Milwaukee (18 million)
Fresno (18 million)
St Louis (18 million)
Wednesday, May 22, 2013
Monday, May 6, 2013
Weekly Top 10 - Weeks 1 and 2
1. Durham Tar Heels (25-8) - The Tar Heels were 4-2 vs the Top 10. They are 1st in Batting, 11th in Pitching, and average in the field.
2. Boston Massacre (25-7) - Probably the best team that 1530 has ever seen, the Mascara are likely to never lose another game. They were 3-3 vs the Top 10. They are 2nd in Batting, 13th in Pitching, 8th in Fielding, and 1st in blog curses.
3. Salt Lake City Mormons (17-15) - A better team than their record would indicate. 3-3 vs the Top 10. They are 3rd in Batting, 9th in Pitching, and average in the field.
4. Helena Hustle (22-10) - The NL's best team, they were 8-2 vs the Top 10. They are 7th in Batting, 6th in Pitching, and 3rd in Fielding.
5. Kansas City Crusaders (23-9) - The Evil Empire finished the week 6-3 vs. the Top 10. They were average at the plate, 2nd on the mound, and 11th in the field.
6. San Francisco Shoreman (18-14) - 2-5 vs the Top 10, average in Batting, 1st in Pitching, 4th in Fielding.
7. Atlanta Aces (22-10) - The Aces were 2-1 vs the Top 10, even more impressive given the instability in their ownership. Average in Batting, 9th in Pitching, 1st in Fielding
8. Salem Aggies (17-15) - Another team much better than their record, the Aggies were 3-6 vs teh Top 10. They are 4th in Batting, below average in Pitching, and above average in Fielding.
9. Pittsburgh Partymen (18-14) - 2-8 vs the Top 10 so the schedule should get easier. Below average in Batting, 4th in Pitching, and 6th in Fielding.
10. Baltimore Choppers (18-15) - 5-5 for the week vs. the Top 10. Average in Batting, 7th in Pitching, and 9th in Fielding.
2. Boston Massacre (25-7) - Probably the best team that 1530 has ever seen, the Mascara are likely to never lose another game. They were 3-3 vs the Top 10. They are 2nd in Batting, 13th in Pitching, 8th in Fielding, and 1st in blog curses.
3. Salt Lake City Mormons (17-15) - A better team than their record would indicate. 3-3 vs the Top 10. They are 3rd in Batting, 9th in Pitching, and average in the field.
4. Helena Hustle (22-10) - The NL's best team, they were 8-2 vs the Top 10. They are 7th in Batting, 6th in Pitching, and 3rd in Fielding.
5. Kansas City Crusaders (23-9) - The Evil Empire finished the week 6-3 vs. the Top 10. They were average at the plate, 2nd on the mound, and 11th in the field.
6. San Francisco Shoreman (18-14) - 2-5 vs the Top 10, average in Batting, 1st in Pitching, 4th in Fielding.
7. Atlanta Aces (22-10) - The Aces were 2-1 vs the Top 10, even more impressive given the instability in their ownership. Average in Batting, 9th in Pitching, 1st in Fielding
8. Salem Aggies (17-15) - Another team much better than their record, the Aggies were 3-6 vs teh Top 10. They are 4th in Batting, below average in Pitching, and above average in Fielding.
9. Pittsburgh Partymen (18-14) - 2-8 vs the Top 10 so the schedule should get easier. Below average in Batting, 4th in Pitching, and 6th in Fielding.
10. Baltimore Choppers (18-15) - 5-5 for the week vs. the Top 10. Average in Batting, 7th in Pitching, and 9th in Fielding.
Monday, April 22, 2013
All-available Free Agent Squad
Every season I put this squad together, but this one is better than most. This bullpen represents all four of Maddie's top FA RP's. Happy shopping!
C - Luis Garza
1B - Julian Guerrero
2B - Sean Gorecki
SS - Scott Lee
3B - Renyel Beltre
LF - Braeden Fonda
CF - Tom Wilkinson
RF - Tris Bragg
DH - Jorge Vega
BENCH BAT - Norm Tucker
BENCH GLOVE - Oswaldo De La Vega
BENCH VS RHP - Brooks Edwards
BENCH VS LHP - Guy Dalrymple
SP1 - Chan Ho Sugawara
SP2 - Hughie Davis
SP3 - Slash Bierbrodt
SP4 - Dewey Prior
SP5 - Victor Olmeda
LRA - Charles Pelfrey
LRB - Delino Oliva
SUA - Glenn Willingham
SUB - Desi Colon
SUB - Max Rijo
CLA - Luis Piedra
C - Luis Garza
1B - Julian Guerrero
2B - Sean Gorecki
SS - Scott Lee
3B - Renyel Beltre
LF - Braeden Fonda
CF - Tom Wilkinson
RF - Tris Bragg
DH - Jorge Vega
BENCH BAT - Norm Tucker
BENCH GLOVE - Oswaldo De La Vega
BENCH VS RHP - Brooks Edwards
BENCH VS LHP - Guy Dalrymple
SP1 - Chan Ho Sugawara
SP2 - Hughie Davis
SP3 - Slash Bierbrodt
SP4 - Dewey Prior
SP5 - Victor Olmeda
LRA - Charles Pelfrey
LRB - Delino Oliva
SUA - Glenn Willingham
SUB - Desi Colon
SUB - Max Rijo
CLA - Luis Piedra
Wednesday, April 17, 2013
The Blog's HOF Ballot
1. J.R. Beckett - SP, Durham - Simply one of the best SP's to play the game. 7 all-star appearances and 4 Cy Young Awards while pitching mostly in a hitter's ballpark. 253-102 with a 3.11 ERA. Voted as one of the best 5 SP's in the first 25 years of 1530 Homer
2. Philip Colin - SP, Montreal - 1st in wins and 2nd in strikeouts, Colin won a Cy Young and earned 4 World Series rings. 325-173 with an ERA of 3.77.
3. Esteban Owen, RF, Houston - A career .302 hitter, Owen hit 649 HR's and batted in 1801 while earning one MVP and 5 all star appearances. A decent defensive RF, as well. Voted the best RF in 25 years of 1530 Homer
4. Francis Herzog, CF, Buffalo - A rare combination of defense in offense in a tough position to find them both, Herzog appeared in seven all star games and won nine silver sluggers in Center. A career .289 batter with an OPS of .960, he hit 468 homers and batted in 1393 runs. Voted the best CF in the first 25 years of 1530 Homer
5. TBD
2. Philip Colin - SP, Montreal - 1st in wins and 2nd in strikeouts, Colin won a Cy Young and earned 4 World Series rings. 325-173 with an ERA of 3.77.
3. Esteban Owen, RF, Houston - A career .302 hitter, Owen hit 649 HR's and batted in 1801 while earning one MVP and 5 all star appearances. A decent defensive RF, as well. Voted the best RF in 25 years of 1530 Homer
4. Francis Herzog, CF, Buffalo - A rare combination of defense in offense in a tough position to find them both, Herzog appeared in seven all star games and won nine silver sluggers in Center. A career .289 batter with an OPS of .960, he hit 468 homers and batted in 1393 runs. Voted the best CF in the first 25 years of 1530 Homer
5. TBD
Hall Of Fame Win Shares - Pitchers
Current HOF'rs
1 - Rob Branson - OPS allowed of .632 over 15 Seasons, while league average was .786 over same period - .154 better than average
2. Jay Burnitz - OPS allowed of .714 over his 20 seasons, while the average pitcher was .778 over the same period - .64 better than average
3. John Fikac - OPS allowed of .689 over his 17 seasons, while average pitcher was .783 over the same period - .94 better than average
Average SP HOF'r - OPS allowed of 1.04 OPS allowed better than average
4. Wilfredo Veras - OPS allowed of .659 over his 20 seasons, while average pitcher was .768 over the same period - .109 better than average
5. Dave Darr, OPS allowed of .652 over his 21 seasons, while average was .758 over same period - .106 better than average
4. Wilfredo Veras - OPS allowed of .659 over his 20 seasons, while average pitcher was .768 over the same period - .109 better than average
5. Dave Darr, OPS allowed of .652 over his 21 seasons, while average was .758 over same period - .106 better than average
I have argued in previous posts, for SP's, that 1.00 OPS better than average is a no doubt Hall of Famer. Anything less must take other factors into consideration.
Hold-over candidates
J.R. Beckett, OPS allowed of .634 over his 18 seasons, while league average was .770 over same period - .136 better than average
Miguel Vazquez - OPS allowed of .701 over his 24 seasons, while average was .773 over the same period - .72 better than average
Willie Wheat - OPS allowed of .697 over his 20 seasons, while average was .768 over same period - .71 better than average.
Richard Aoki, OPS allowed of .729 over his 24 seasons, while league average was .769 over same period - .60 better than averageNewbies
Philip Colin, OPS allowed of .681 over his 23 seasons, while league average was .779 over same period - .98 better than average
Heinie Conigliaro, OPS allowed of .722 over his 20 seasons, while league average was .779 over same period - .57 better than average
Ramon Chen, OPS allowed of .717 over his 21 seasons, while league average was .783 over same period - .66 better than average
My Ballot - Beckett, Colin
Hall Of Fame - Win Shares Position Players
Win Shares - Position Players
Those in the Hall
1. Charles Lawrence - 17 Seasons, 95.56 wins, 5.62 per season
2. Milton Simmons - 18 Seasons, 71.66 wins, 3.98 per season
3. Eddie Reese - 15 Seasons, 64.51 wins, 4.30 per season
4. Adam Lansing - 12 Seasons, 53.59 wins, 4.47 per season
5. Clinton Clifton - 16 seasons, 63.12 wins, 3.95 per season
6. Rollie Walker - 14 Seasons, 53.16 wins, 3.54 per season
7. Juan Johnson - 17 Seasons, 43.81 wins, 2.58 per season
8. Brent Sabel - 16 Seasons, 42.09 wins, 2.63 per season
9. Wesley Graves - 15 Seasons, 34.64 wins, 2.38 per season
10. Rogers Torrealba - 15 Seasons, 31.49 wins, 2.09 per season
Hold-over candidates
Francis Herzog - 16 seasons, 58.17 wins, 3.64 per season
Sergio Dupler - 15 Seasons, 38.64 wins, 2.58 per season
Phil Iwazaki - 16 Seasons, 19.7 wins, 1.23 per season
Brendan Watson - 14 seasons, 19.65 wins, 1.40 per season
Ignacio Cruz - 13 Seasons, 11.7 wins, .9 wins per season
Newbies
Esteban Owen - 17 seasons, 47.75 wins, 2.80 per season
My ballot will include Owen and Herzog
Monday, April 15, 2013
Mega Deals- 3 PM Cycle
The 3 PM cycle on the last day of free agency is when we finally have answers on some of the top Free Agents. These are guys that have multiple offers in from teams that have both pursued them from the first day, to those that joined in after missing on other targets. For that reason, the price tends to be high. Here are three of the largest....
1. Aaron Simon, SP, Cleveland, 5 years $78.5 million plus a 5.5 million bonus
Analysis - A 32 year old that almost won the Cy Young last season, Simon is 116-61 with an OPS allowed of .727 over his ML career. He is a very good SP, but intangibles might make those last two years of the contract a tough pill to swallow.
2. Angel Palmeiro, SP, Baltimore, 5 years $58 million
Analysis - Palmeiro compares favorably to the other Top, young(ish) southpaw on the market (Mule Service). 95-65 with an OPS allowed of .695 over his career. Should be a top of the rotation guy for the duration of his contract.
3. Anthony Patterson, SP, Jacksonville, 5 years $84.2 million with a player option and no trade clause
Analysis - rbjb went all-in on this 33 year old righty SP. 158-112 with an ERA of 4.29 and OPS allowed of .738, Patterson is the rare lefty that can get RHB's out. A good, albeit expensive, addition for a contender.
1. Aaron Simon, SP, Cleveland, 5 years $78.5 million plus a 5.5 million bonus
Analysis - A 32 year old that almost won the Cy Young last season, Simon is 116-61 with an OPS allowed of .727 over his ML career. He is a very good SP, but intangibles might make those last two years of the contract a tough pill to swallow.
2. Angel Palmeiro, SP, Baltimore, 5 years $58 million
Analysis - Palmeiro compares favorably to the other Top, young(ish) southpaw on the market (Mule Service). 95-65 with an OPS allowed of .695 over his career. Should be a top of the rotation guy for the duration of his contract.
3. Anthony Patterson, SP, Jacksonville, 5 years $84.2 million with a player option and no trade clause
Analysis - rbjb went all-in on this 33 year old righty SP. 158-112 with an ERA of 4.29 and OPS allowed of .738, Patterson is the rare lefty that can get RHB's out. A good, albeit expensive, addition for a contender.
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