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Tuesday, December 13, 2011

Updated AL Playoff Picture

With only 5 games left on the schedule, their is still some drama left. Those in BOLD have clinched playoff berth

1. Cincinnati Redlegs (clinched #1 Seed and AL North Champ)
2. Durham Tar Heels (likely #2 Seed and likely AL East Champ)
3. Jacksonville TIMUCUAN'S (likely #3 Seed and clinched AL South Champ)
4. St. Louis Cardinals (likely #4 seed and likely AL West Champ)
5. Philadelphia Bacharach Giants (at least #5 Seed and at least Wild Card #1)
6. Salem Aggies (#6 Seed and likely Wild Card #2)

Cincinnati has locked up the overall #1 seed. Durham or Philly will be the #2 seed. Jacksonville has clinched the South and has a 5 game lead on St. Louis for the #3 seed. Salem has lost their lead in the South and now trails St. Louis by 2 games, but leads for the Wild Card #2 spot by 3 over Montreal and OKC.


AL West Analysis

The Standings
1. St Louis 87-70
2. Salem 85-72

The Contenders

St. Louis
2000man had won his division in 11 of his 22 1530 Homer seasons. The Cards are led by Archie Herzner on offense and the quasi-albino Blade Fox on the mound. Future HOF'r Clinton Clifton is still in a relative slump, but they have picked up the slack elsewhere.

Salem
The Aggies have finished 3rd of 4th in every one of dubabe's 7 seasons. This year is a new story. Led by Dutch Velarde and Keith Roosevelt on offense and emerging ace Hick Manning, Salem has produced one of the more dramatic turn arounds in 1530 history, but can they make the playoffs?

Remaining schedule
Salem - 2 vs. St. Louis, 3 vs. Vancouver
St. Louis - 2 vs. Salem, 3 vs. Fresno

Prediction
St. Louis has been on fire and there is no reason to believe that they will be slowing down. If Salem can win the next two games vs. St. Louis, then they do have a more favorable remaining schedule. One more win in the series by St. Louis will give them the tie-breaker vs. Salem, which will likely put the division out of reach.

Wild Card #2 Analysis

The Standings
1. Salem 85-72
2. Oklahoma City 82-75
3. Montreal 82-75

The Contenders

Salem
The Aggies have finished 3rd of 4th in every one of dubabe's 7 seasons. This year is a new story. Led by Dutch Velarde and Keith Roosevelt on offense and emerging ace Hick Manning, Salem has produced one of the more dramatic turn arounds in 1530 history.

Oklahoma City
robyoung is attempting to make the playoffs for the first time since season 16. Newcomer Alex Limon leads the offense, while B.C. Vincente leads the pitching staff with his best season yet. Youngster Jesus Bautista must play better

Montreal
nhollan and his perennial powerhouse are seeking their 17th consecutive playoff appearance. They are led by MVP candidate (winner?) Henry Wise on offense and ace Sammy Iglesias. They must get better production out of Bill Reed if they are going to catch the challengers.

Remaining Schedule
Salem - 2 vs. St. Louis, 3 vs. Vancouver
Oklahoma City - 2 vs. Jacksonville, 3 vs. New Orleans
Montreal - 2 vs. SLC, 3 vs. Cincinnati


Prediction
It's hard to bet against Montreal, but making up 3 games with 6 to play is going to be difficult. They do have an easy schedule if Cincy rests their guys for the playoffs. OKC does not have an easy game remaining. My bet is Salem.

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