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Monday, April 11, 2011

HOF Pitchers - OPS allowed

The HOF is exclusive, but how exclusive should it be? Here, the blog attempts to find the best way to evaluate Starting Pitchers. (Please see my 1/23 post explaining the numbers)

OPS Allowed

The numbers basically compare a player's OPS allowed to the average pitcher's OPS allowed over the same period of time. Both sets of numbers are readily available.

In my 1/23 post, it was concluded that any starting pitcher that has an OPS allowed over the span of his career that is .150 points better than the average pitcher over that same period should enter the HOF with no debate, assuming a win total that is reasonably good. Any SP that is .130 points better should aslo be a first ballot HOFr. A pitcher with a career OPS allowed that is .100 better than the average pitcher during that same span, will have played at an all-star level for his entire career. Anything less than .100 needs further examination. Of course, OPS allowed shouldn't be the only resource, wins, saves, K's, and awards must be considered.

Hall of Fame Members

Rob Branson - .154 better than average

Hall of Fame Candidates (worthy newcomers and those with 4 or more votes previously)

Karl Greenberg - .091 better than average

Stephen Schourek - .091 better than average

Hall of Fame -Win Shares

Here are the win share numbers - if you need a refresher, go to the 1/24 post on the topic - Current HOF'rs

Charles Lawrence - 5.6 wins/season
Adam Lansing - 4.8 wins/season.
Rollie Walker - 4.5 wins/season

Candidates (newcomers and those with 4 or more votes in previous years)

1. Eddie Reese - 4.2 wins/season
2. Sparky McNamara - 3.1 wins/season
3. Del Hamelin - 2.9 wins/season
4.Donne Vina - 2.5 wins/season
5.Sidney Allen 2.4 wins/season
6.Juan Beltre - 2.2 wins/season
7.Rogers Torrealba - 2.1 wins/season
8.Osvaldo Roque - 1.9 wins/season
9.Gerald Gload - 1.4 wins/season
10.Hal Weiss - 1.3 wins/season
11.Ignacio Cruz - .95 wins/season

Rule V Recap

1. San Francisco Kip Hansen
2. Oklahoma City Fred Simms
3. Kansas City Louie Sanchez
4. Salt Lake City Hector Silva
5. Salem Robert Buck
6.Helena Haywood Logan
7. San Antonio Joakim Peralta
8. Baltimore Crash Corey
9. Jacksonville Horacio Escobar
10. Dover Santiago Lira
11. Pittsburgh Joshua Kelly
12. Cleveland Antonio Coleman
13. Montgomery Pedro Santana

All-Available FA Team

This is garbage time for Free Agents, but every year someone steals a guy or two that make major contributions. These guys are cheap, productive, and usually can be had for 1 or 2 seasons.

C - Phil Aldridge

1B - Brady Riggs

2B - Cy Hatteberg

3B - Warren Simon

SS - Antone Helton

LF - James Koch

CF - Edwin Skipworth

RF - Richard Curtis

DH - Jody Tanner

SP1 - Jacque Small

SP2 - Stewart Kashmir

SP3 - Seth Matthews

SP4 - Oscar Andrews

SP5 - Daisuke Choi

LRA - Vic Santos

LRB - Julius Romero

SuA - Felix Kondou

SuB - Andres Estrada

CL - Warren Hogan