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Wednesday, May 11, 2011

AL South Prediction

Thanks to rbjb, here was the pre-season prediction for the AL South


AL South Prediction
Jacksonville
New Orleans
San Antonio
Oklahoma


Jacksonville’s bullpen will propel them to a first place finish in the AL South.

The combination of Contact, Eye and Power will put Jacksonville as the best offense in the division, but New Orleans ability to hit right or left handed pitching will keep there offense close to Jacksonville. San Antonio and Oklahoma will be close but not enough to make a difference in the AL South.

The breakdown on Offense

Contact Power VSL VSR Eye Speed Total
Jacksonville 1 2 4 2 1 2 12
New Orleans 3 4 1 1 4 1 14
San Antonio 2 3 3 3 2 3 16
Oklahoma 4 1 2 4 3 4 18

New Orleans has the best starting pitching in the division and will help keep them alive in the division race, but their bullpen will let them down on a number of occasions and their ability to blow a lead will propel Jacksonville to the top of the division. Jacksonville’s Starters are a veteran bunch with Rookie Chad Long and it will be seen if they can hang in there for the whole season. The bullpen is what will prevail and keep the lead that the starters will provide for Jacksonville. With 4 FA signings and a trade that brought in Carlos Rosada, the bullpen could be the best that 1530 Homer has ever seen. San Antonio’s pitching will keep them around in ball games this year and that is what will separate them from Oklahoma. Oklahoma will need a lot of offense to stay close to their opponent this year with this pitching staff.

The breakdown on Pitching
All/ST/BP All/ST/BP
Control VSL VSR Total Total
Jacksonville 1 2 1 1 3 1 1 3 1 3 8 3 14
New Orleans 2 1 2 3 1 4 3 2 3 8 4 9 21
San Antonio 3 3 4 2 2 2 2 1 2 7 6 8 21
Oklahoma 4 4 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 12 12 10 34

Monday, May 9, 2011

Showdown in the East

We are finally here - the showdown that will once and for all prove which division is the best in baseball in Season 20.

12 days and 48 games for all of the bragging rights. All 8 teams are .500 or above, and 5of them are in the most recent Top 10.

NL East vs. AL East

Day 1
Hartford 5 - Baltimore 4
Boston 4 - Dover 1
Buffalo 3 - Durham 1
Philadelphia 2 - Chicago 1

AL East 2 - NL East 2, AL +1 Run differential

Day 2
Buffalo 6 - Durham 3
Durham 3 - Buffalo 2
Durham 6 - Hartford 2
Hartford 8 - Baltimore 6
Baltimore 6 - Hartford 5
Baltimore 1 - Buffalo 0
Dover 5 - Boston 4
Dover 5 - Boston 0
Boston 5 - Chicago 2
Chicago 5 - Philadelphia 3
Philadelphia 5 - Chicago 1
Philadelphia 5 - Dover 2

AL East 9 - NL East 7, AL +5 Run differential
Philly 3-1, Buffalo 2-2, Durham 2-2, Baltimore 2-2, Dover 2-2, Boston 2-2, Hartford 2-2, Chicago 1-3

Day 3

Buffalo 6 - Baltimore 3
Baltimore 7 - Buffalo 4
Baltimore 2 - Dover 1
Boston 14 - Chicago 7
Boston 8 - Chicago 6
Boston 6 - Hartford 0
Hartford 4 - Durham 3
Durham 5 - Hartford 4
Durham 5 - Chicago 4
Philly 10 - Dover 3
Philly 7 - Dover 6
Philly 8 - Dover 3

AL East 19 - NL East 9, AL +35 run differential
Philly 6-1, Boston 5-2, Durham 4-3, Baltimore 4-3, Buffalo 3-4, Hartford 3-4, Dover 2-5, Chicago 1-6

Weekly Rankings - Week 3

1. Boston Tea Partiers (44-16) Prev #3 - Boston completes its rapid rise to the top with a league best 15-4 for the week. They own the best record, best exp win %, and best run differential. They are 1st in Batting, 6th in Pitching, and 1st in Fielding. Run differential +116

2. Montreal Garde Imperiale (37-24) Prev #4 - Montreal had an average 11-9 week, with series losses to Baltimore and Scottsdale. They are 6th in Batting, 5th in Pitching, and 5th in Fielding. Run differential +100

3. Philadelphia Bacharach Giants (39-12) Prev #6 - A 12-7 week sees the BeeGees move up to #2, sweeping Santa Cruz along the way. They are 4th in Batting, 8th in Pitching, and 9th in Fielding. Run differential +83

4. Chicago Black Sox (37-23) Prev #7 - The Sox rebound with a 12-7 week, with a sweep of LA and a series win vs. Houston. They are 2nd in Batting, and average in both Pitching and Fielding. Run differential +85

5. Memphis Blue's (41-20) Prev #5 - The Blue's show some stability in a very unstable Top 10 with a 12-7 week. They swept Dover (twice) and Hartford but are currently struggling vs. Jacksonville. They continue to rely on a pitching (#1) and defense (#2) to make up for a suspect offensive unit. Run differential +64

6. Durham Tar Heels (36-24) Prev #9 - Another strong week (12-7) sees Durham climb three spots. They swept New Orleans and Salt Lake, but lost series to Scottsdale and Montreal. They are 3rd in runs scored, above average in pitching, and 8th in Fielding. Run differential +78

7. Jacksonville Timucuan's (39-22) Prev #2 - The former top AL team drops dramatically after a 9-11 campaign. Before we write them off, however, we must realize that 8 of those 11 losses came to #1 Boston and #2 Montreal. They are 7th in Batting, 7th in Pitching, and 3rd in Fielding. Run differential +69

8. Los Angeles Hollywoods (39-21) Prev #1 - LA falls due to two reasons - a 10-9 week, and a -10 run differential on that week. They seem to have righted the ship, winning 5 of their last 6 following a 6-game losing streak. They are above average in Batting, 4th in Pitching, and above average in Fielding. Run differential +64

9. Honolulu Tropics (32-28) Prev NR - Honolulu re-enters the rankings after a one-week absence with a 11-8 week. They have, however, lost 5 of their last 7 and will need to pick it up with many other teams poised to take their spot. They are below average in Batting, 3rd in Pitching, and above average in Fielding. Run differential +45

10. Hartford Whalers (33-27) Prev NR - Hartford is a suprise addition after an average 10-9 week. Their entrance is largely at the expense of Kansas City, which was the victim of 7 of their 10 wins. They are above average in all categories. Run differential +37

Dropped
8. New Orleans Causeway Cajuns
10. Buffalo Bisons


Just Missed
Baltimore
Houston
Helena