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Friday, September 23, 2011

Average OPS

I saw this on Lance's blog and thought it would be a good thing to do for our world. Here is the average OPS for each league and each position. I used either the top 25 players for each position or those that played over 100 games for the data, whichever was less.

AL

C - .730
1B - .839
2B - .754
3B - .769
SS - .687
LF - .788
CF - .723
RF - .793
DH - .815

NL

C - .762
1B - .805
2B - .767
3B - .752
SS - .674
LF - .777
CF - .751
RF - .803

Thursday, September 22, 2011

LCS Preview

AL

#6 Montreal Garde Imperiale (91-71) vs. #5 Philadelphia Bacharach Giants (98-64)

Overview
So the two Wild-cards in the AL will meet for a ticket to the World Series. Defending Champ Montreal dispatched Jacksonville 3-1 in teh first round, then proceeded to do the same to division rival Cincinnati, also 3-1. Philly swept Scottsdale before taking care of division rival Durham, 3-1.

Regular Season
The series was split, with Philly at a +7 run differential

Pitching match-ups
Game 1 - Fritz Lynch (14-12) vs. Timothy Crawford (16-7)
Game 2 - Willie Wheat (19-6)vs. Sammy Iglesias (17-5)
Game 3 - Anthony Patterson (11-8) vs. Preston Forster (9-8)

Prediction - Many were writing off Montreal, and to be fair, they certainly didn't appear to be the Montreal of old until the end of the season. Philly is due, and my bet is that they take it in 6 games.

NL

#3 Helena Hustle (97-65) vs. #1 Houston Hangovers (100-62)

Overview
Houston won the WS in Season 19, disappeared in Season 20, and is back in form in Season 21. They swept Honolulu to reach this stage. Helena won a very cometitive NL West, then proceeded to eliminate West rival LA in 4 games, and Chicago in 5.

Regular Season
They spit 10 games, with Helena at a +2 run differential

Pitching Match-ups
Game 1 - Angel Palmeiro (12-9) vs. Willis Floyd (19-7)
Game 2 - Richard Aoki (17-9) vs. Dave Darr (19-6)
Game 3 - Tommy Hardy (13-3) vs. Geraldo Mendez (12-4)

Prediction

As much as I would like to go with the underdog, Houston's starting pitching is too good to bet against. My guees is that Helena steals a game, but Houston wins in 5 to reach another World Series.

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Cy Young Analysis

Here's a look at the OPS Allowed for the candidates. The argument is that the only things that a pitcher can truly control are how many people he allows on base, and the slugging percentage of those players that he faces.

The number represents the difference between the average pitcher's OPS allowed, and the candidate's OPS allowed.

For reference, Season 19 AL Cy Young winner J.R. Beckett was .224 better than the average AL pitcher, NL winner Miguel Vazquez was .184 better than the average NL pitcher, Season 20 AL Cy Young Jeff Woods was .120 better, and S21 NL Cy Young Art Wingo was .121 better.

AL candidates

The average AL pitcher had an OPS allowed of .765. Here are the candidates and how much they were better than the average pitcher.

1. Sammy Iglesias - .181
2. Willie Wheat - .179
3. Rocky Hinch - .139
4. Derrek Peters - .125
5. Alexi Terrero - .94

The average NL pitcher had an OPS allowed of .737. Here are the candidates and how much they were better than the average NL pitcher.

1.Dave Darr - 1.34
2.Randy Broome - 1.11
3.Willis Floyd - .83
4.Cesar Reyes - .58
5.Ramon Chen - .12

Monday, September 19, 2011

MVP Analysis

AL

Last season's AL MVP Wendell Reed won it with a 4.51 Win Share. Runner-up Benji Neill came in at an AL best 4.91. Here are the candidates:

1. Wendell Reed - 4.60
2. Henry Wise - 4.28
3. Luis Lopez - 3.83
4. Alfredo Nieves - 3.63
5. Don Chen - 2.92

NL

Last season's NL MVP Ken Daly had a win share of 3.54. Runner-up Mack Shields was at an NL best 3.63. Here are the candidates:


1. Mack Shields - 5.07
2. Louis Spence - 4.24
3. Peter O'Connor - 3.84
4. Omar Flores - 2.73
5. Harry Silva - 2.66