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Tuesday, July 10, 2012

Season 24 Free Agency Review - Position Players

1. J.C. Drew, St. Louis, 3 years $16.2 million

Analysis - An all-star in season 23 and a ring in season 24 wasn't enough for cash-rich KC to keep him on board. A liability at 2B, Drew is more suited for COF at this stage in his career. A career OPS of .807 was bested by .100 points last season. Is this the new norm or will he crash back down to earth? He should be very productive for two seasons and above average for one - not a bad deal.

2. Louie Delgado, St. Louis, 4 years $22.4 million with a no-trade clause

Analysis - It's raining cash in St. Louis! Delgado is an elite player in 1530. He is a career .292 hitter with 659 homers, 1777 RBI's, and 1524 runs. He is a 7-time all-star with 4 (FOUR!) rings. The hall of fame may be in his future and, although his skills are declining, he should have 3 or 4 good seasons left in the tank.

3. Mike Watson, Oklahoma City, 2 years $12.6 million

Analysis - An above average eye makes Watson an above average batter. Best suited for COF, but able to play 2B, Watson is a versatile #2 or #3 hole player. A solid pick-up with very low risk for skills decline due to his age and contract length.

4. Willie Bennett, Jacksonville, 4 years $24 million

Analysis - Above average defensively in COF and able to play 3B, this 29 year old is a solid, though not spectacular, player. Pencil him in for 15-20 homers and 70-80 RBIs with the potential to do more if plugged in the 4 hole.

5. Julian Guerrero, Norfolk, 4 years $20.8 million with a mutual option

Analysis - Still only 29, Julian has yet to have a breakout year. All the tools are there, and he is perfectly suited for the #2 spot in the lineup. This is basically a three year deal and there should be little decline in his skills during that time. Based on his pedestrian numbers, this is a bad deal. But based on potential, a good one

Monday, July 9, 2012

Season 24 Free Agency Review - Pitchers

SPs

1. Jacob Hunter, Scottsdale, 3 years $35.4 million with a mutual option

Analysis - Hunter is one of the all-time greats. He is an excellent pitcher with marginal stamina for a starter. Health is a concern, but intangibles will see Hunter as a #2 SP for the duration of the contract. Career ERA of 2.68 is good for 4th best all-time. A good signing, although very expensive.

2. Sandy Ramsey, St. Louis, 4 years $36.4 million

Analysis - 35 years old with a career 4.00 ERA, Ramsey is a beast vs. righties and only average vs. lefties. His stats are skewed by his one year in Colorado, and he should be a top of the rotation gut for at least three more seasons. Not bad.

3. Sammy Duran, Oklahoma City, 2 years $12.6 million

Analysis - A lefty on the wrong side of 35, Duran has enough gas in the tank to finish out this contract. He has very good stamina and control, and above average splits. Career ERA of 3.81.

4. Otto Podsednik, Washington DC, 2 years $6.2 million

Analysis - A bargain. Podsednik is good, not great, but will hold down a #3 SP spot for two years and provide above average results. Pencil him in for 200 innings and an ERA in the low to mid 4s.

5. Julio Lopez Tampa Bay, 5 years $45.7 million

Analysis - Re-signed by Tampa, Lopez is 30 years old with excellent control, stamina, and 1st pitch. Career 3.82 ERA and 1.34 WHIP reveal that he is a top of the rotation starter, and should remain so throughout the duration of the contract. A good signing.

6. Alberto Martinez, St. Louis, 5 years $38.5 million

Analysis - A big contract for a young SP. Martinez has elite control and health, and this is not a bad investment for a top of the rotation SP with little injury risk. He will struggle vs. lefties, but 3.72 ERA and 1.26 WHIP are very good indicators that this is a vs. righty league.

RPs

1. Al Castilla, Kansas City, 1 year $5.4 million

Analysis - This Type A was signed by the World Champs after saving 25 games for Salem. He should be a good piece in the KC bullpen, eating 100+ innings with an ERA under 4.

2. Christian Martin, Milwaukee, 1 year $4.2 million

Analysis - This Type B was available on the cheap. Over the last two years, he has averaged 35 saves with an ERA in the mid 3s and a WHIP in the 1.1s. He is a bit of an injury prone dude, but this is a low-risk high-reward deal.